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Stock Markets

South Korean stock market

99hotat an extreme

143% above its 10-year average | Data for Sep 2026

Hot and cold describe position, not good or bad: warm does not mean a fall is coming, and an extreme reading does not mean a quick reversal. We describe history only, with no buy or sell advice.

050100Korea stocks

What it is

Korea stocks: what is measured, and why it matters

What it measures

The monthly average of South Korea’s share price index, as compiled by the OECD.

Why it matters

Exports make up a large share of South Korea’s economy, and memory chips and other semiconductors carry heavy weights in its market.

Where it stands now

Position over time

Data: OECD Main Economic Indicators (share prices). Positions: our calculation.

coldcoolneutralwarmhotHatched = earlier periods that were also hot

Short sample: positions start only in 2000 (less than 30 years), so conclusions should be more cautious.

When it was here before

Earlier hot periods (2), plus the current one

Korea stocks after it began, cumulative1 yr2 yr3 yr

  1. Aug 2005⁠–Jun 200835-month period, hot throughout · 2008 Financial crisis1 yr+19.2%2 yr+64.6%3 yr+39.5%
  2. Nov 2010⁠–Jul 20119-month period, hot in 7 of those months · 2011 Euro debt crisis1 yr−3.4%2 yr−1.0%3 yr+4.4%
  3. Oct 2025⁠–⁠now12-month period, hot throughoutStill under way

For each period, the changes 1, 2 and 3 years after it began are cumulative and measured from its first month; “What happened next” is measured from every hot month, so the two give different numbers. The events named beside each period are major events of that time, not necessarily related to the readings here.

What happened nextSample too small to draw conclusions (past hot months: 42; market episodes: 2).

Has hot or cold lined up with later returns?

Some link in the past (not a guide to the future)

2000⁠–⁠2021: average yearly change in Korea stocks over the next 5 years

Hottest 20%
+4.7%a year
All months
+7.2%a year
Coldest 20%
+11.9%a year

In this period, the hotter the month, the lower the average over the next 5 years. The months overlap, so there are really only a few market episodes. This is a tendency, not a rule, and not a forecast.

What it is linked to

Links involving Korea stocks

No tested links currently involve this indicator.

Values

Values over time

Unit: index. Data: OECD Main Economic Indicators (share prices). Log scale: equal heights mean equal percentage changes.

Data and sources

Where the data come from and how they are calculated

Source
OECD Main Economic Indicators (share prices)
Frequency
Monthly
Positions start
Nov 2000 (short sample)
Method
Ratio: this month ÷ the 10-year average; position = the percentile of this ratio within its own history
Unit
index
License
Public data, with attribution

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